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2024-12-14 05:05:35

The market rebounded for half an hour from 1: 30 to 2: 00, but when it rebounded to 3,425, it stopped abruptly, and it was almost the same without rushing up. If it could not stand on the offensive line, it could only turn its head down again, so it weakened again. The decline after 2 o'clock completely broke the hope of bottoming out today. At present, the index has returned to below the offensive line. The offensive line received 3,418.91 points today, and it will have to return to above 3,420 points at least next Monday, so that the short-term trend will have the possibility of getting better again, otherwise it will continue to be below the offensive line, that is, it will continue to weaken and cannot blindly intervene. Only in an upward trend can the index have a strong foundation.The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Finance, the People's Bank of China and the General Administration of Financial Supervision issued the Special Action Plan for Digital Empowerment of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (2025-2027), taking the pilot project of digital transformation of small and medium-sized enterprises as the starting point, promoting digital transformation by combining "point, line and surface", accelerating the innovative application and deep empowerment of artificial intelligence, fully activating the value of data elements, focusing on improving the quality and efficiency of supply and the level of service guarantee, and implementing the special action for digital empowerment of small and medium-sized enterprises.However, today's closing price has not fallen below the short-term trend line, which is almost the same. Today, the short-term trend line has closed at 3,391.33 points, and it will definitely not fall below 3,391 points next Monday. If it falls below, the short-term trend will be completely weakened, so it is necessary to further reduce the position. If it stays above 3,392 points, you can take a look again, so it depends on whether there is any good news over the weekend to support a repair on Monday.


There are indications that the short-term trend of the market is not optimistic, or it needs to be cautious. In addition, I have told you before that the first few trading days of the market are above the offensive line and the pressure level, and the previous three consecutive trading days have been a breakthrough in the solid line, but today it has returned to the pressure level, that is, below 3428 points, indicating that the market is now back to the state of interval shock. If it returns to the state of interval shock, Then, once it falls below the short-term trend line again, the possibility of further testing the lower rail is not ruled out. At present, the support of the lower rail is around 3298 points, and the front is supported by a wave of lower rail that is adjusted and stepped back, which has stabilized and then ushered in this wave of rebound. Now that we are back below the pressure level again, we should be prepared for further weakening.Although the micro-cap stocks closed down today, they have not fallen below the short-term offensive line, and the short-term upward trend has not changed substantially. Entrepreneurial small-cap stocks have not fallen below the offensive line for the time being. If they fall again on Monday, they will fall below the offensive line, and the short-term trend will also weaken. The CSI 2,000 did not fall below the offensive line today, and the short-term trend is also good at present. Therefore, in general, the trend of small and micro-cap stocks, including entrepreneurial small-cap stocks, has not weakened initially, but if the market weakens further, the stocks will not be able to get out of the independent market, so we should also be cautious.The mid-cap stocks of CSI 500 also fell below the offensive line today, initially weakening, and the small-cap stocks with a large market value of CSI 1,000 also fell below the offensive line. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stocks also weakened completely in the short term, and so did the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50. Therefore, when the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stocks weakened, the market pressure was relatively large. When the heavyweights stopped falling and stabilized, the market pressure was relatively small.


This move is still good for small-cap stocks, especially small-cap stocks with a new concept of specialization. Recently, the overall style of the market is still biased towards small-cap stocks, and there are more opportunities. If the market can stabilize and there is no sustained sharp decline, then everyone should focus on small-cap stocks, and there are more opportunities, especially the low-level ones that have just started.

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